St Bonaventure
W-L: ( 4-10) PR = 87.5586Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Bucknell Patriot ( 8- 7, 91.9) 2-11 214 A Binghamton America Eas ( 2-11, 86.5) 10- 9 217 H Robert Morris NEC (14- 3, 91.5) 14-11 224 A Bellarmine ASUN ( 5-11, 88.9) 12-14 228 H Le Moyne NEC ( 4-11, 85.2) 6- 7 303 A Mercyhurst NEC ( 2-12, 82.0) 12- 9 307 A Cleveland State NEC ( 6- 8, 87.8) 11-12 310 H Canisius MAAC ( 3-11, 85.3) 11-10 314 A St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 ( 7- 6, 95.1) 6-24 328 H Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (10- 6, 93.1) 7- 9 404 A High Point Atlantic 10 ( 6- 8, 93.3) 8-19 411 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (14- 1, 99.1) 7-23 418 A Delaware CAA ( 5- 8, 89.8) 16-19 424 H Hobart Atlantic 10 ( 3-10, 88.8) 12-13
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Bucknell 2-11 -9 -6 -1.27
214 A Binghamton 10- 9 1 0 1.28
217 H Robert Morris 14-11 3 -3 ++ 5.55
224 A Bellarmine 12-14 -2 -3 0.69
228 H Le Moyne 6- 7 -1 4 -- -4.77
303 A Mercyhurst 12- 9 3 4 -1.19
307 A Cleveland State 11-12 -1 -2 0.64
310 H Canisius 11-10 1 4 - -2.60
314 A St Josephs (PA) 6-24 -18 -9 0.00
328 H Massachusetts 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.20
404 A High Point 8-19 -11 -7 0.00
411 H Richmond 7-23 -16 -10 0.00
418 A Delaware 16-19 -3 -4 0.61
424 H Hobart 12-13 -1 0 -1.15
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Le Moyne 6- 7 -1 4 -- -4.77 310 H Canisius 11-10 1 4 - -2.60 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Robert Morris 14-11 3 -3 ++ 5.55 328 H Massachusetts 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.20 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Bucknell ( 8- 7, 91.9) 2-11 -7.99 12.61 1.38 1.02 -3.38
3 A Binghamton ( 2-11, 86.5) 10- 9 -13.44 7.16 1.38 1.02 17.46
3 H Robert Morris (14- 3, 91.5) 14-11 -8.42 12.18 -1.38 1.02 22.10
3 A Bellarmine ( 5-11, 88.9) 12-14 -11.03 9.57 1.38 1.02 -4.93
3 H Le Moyne ( 4-11, 85.2) 6- 7 -14.73 5.87 -1.38 1.02 -8.23
3 A Mercyhurst ( 2-12, 82.0) 12- 9 -17.91 2.69 1.38 1.02 8.31
3 A Cleveland Stat ( 6- 8, 87.8) 11-12 -12.07 8.53 1.38 1.02 -5.47
3 H Canisius ( 3-11, 85.3) 11-10 -14.56 6.04 -1.38 1.02 9.53
3 A St Josephs (PA ( 7- 6, 95.1) 6-24 -4.80 15.80 1.38 1.02 -1.75
3 H Massachusetts (10- 6, 93.1) 7- 9 -6.77 13.83 -1.38 1.02 -4.16
3 A High Point ( 6- 8, 93.3) 8-19 -6.63 13.97 1.38 1.02 -2.68
3 H Richmond (14- 1, 99.1) 7-23 -0.77 19.82 -1.38 1.02 -1.10
3 A Delaware ( 5- 8, 89.8) 16-19 -10.11 10.49 1.38 1.02 -4.46
3 H Hobart ( 3-10, 88.8) 12-13 -11.11 9.49 -1.38 1.02 -6.38
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14.84
|
winning pts = 57.3929 losing points = -42.5576
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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